| Roundtable: | High-level Roundtable: The Future of the Multilateral Trading System |
|---|---|
| time: | 09:00 - 10:30 |
| location: | The Centre William Rappard, WTO - Room W |
| description: |
The eighths WTO Ministerial Conference will take place at a difficult and critical juncture. The world economy is in turmoil, fiscal and trade imbalances continue unabated, and no end is in sight for the Doha negotiations. In addition new pressuring challenges call for rapid responses by the multilateral trading system. A new generation of trade barriers, the proliferation of regional trade pacts and the emergence of greater public policy concerns, including climate protection, food security and the move towards more sustainable energy use and production require coordinated action. The fragmentation of production through highly complex global value chains poses further challenges at the analytical and policy level. Meanwhile, while some developing countries are now fully integrated into the world trading system, the marginalization of the poorest ones could not be overstated. The world continues to be a place of persistent poverty and inequality. It is against this background that ministers will gather in Geneva. They will not be called to provide answers to all the world illness, but they cannot escape to address the way in which the multilateral trading system, embodied in the WTO, will be affected by the above mentioned challenges. In order to discuss these and other challenges, ICTSD is conveying a trade and development symposium on Perspectives of the Multilateral Trading System back-to-back with the WTO Ministerial Conference. The aim is to provide a forum for discussion among governmental and non-governmental stakeholders on issues at the interface of trade and sustainable development.
|
|---|---|
| speakers: | Ewa Björling , Rob Davies , Patricia R Francis , Anabel González , Marie-Gabrielle Ineichen-Fleisch , Ricardo Meléndez-Ortiz , Jose Luis Silva , Gita Wirjawan |
| Session 1: | Embracing Regional Trade Agreements |
|---|---|
| time: | 10:45 - 12:15 |
| location: | The Centre William Rappard, WTO - Room W |
| description: |
Regional pacts have become a permanent and increasingly important feature of the world trading envi- ronment. Currently, more than half of world commerce takes place among countries linked by such pacts. Furthermore, these trade agreements have grown not just in number, but also in depth. Many agreements deal with matters that remain outside the WTO’s scope or capacity to address, such as rules pertaining to investment and competition policies. For some WTO members, regional and bilateral pacts have become the preferred way to interact with their trade partners. The deadlock of the Doha negotiations may exacerbate these tendencies. The rela- tionship between the WTO – and previously the GATT – and regional trade agreements has been limited to evaluations of such pacts in the context of obligations imposed by GATT Article XXIV and the Ena- bling Clause, as well as the enhanced notification procedures of the more recent transparency mechanism. While these obligations have led to an improved understanding of these trade deals by making more in- formation available, they have achieved little else. Under current circumstances, this may not be sufficient. This session looks into the possibility of establishing a more organic link between the WTO and regional trade pacts, moving away from the perception that regional pacts are little more than second-best options, and instead recognising them as valuable agreements in their own right. Many of today’s regional pacts are as complex and sophisticated as the WTO, and there is a body of rules and practices at the regional level from which the multilateral trading system could benefit. In fact, rather than ignoring regional pacts or regarding them with suspicion, the WTO could embrace them by providing, at least initially, a dedi- cated place or forum for them inside the WTO. There, all matters relating to regional trade pacts, their rules and practices could be subject to informed discussion among all WTO members, including those that actively participate in regional agreements and negotiations
|
|---|---|
| speakers: | Jean-Guy Carrier , Jake Colvin , Guijun Lin , Julia Muir , Mark Pearson , Miguel Rodriguez Mendoza , Carlo Sommaruga , Marcel Vaillant |
| Session 2: | Emerging Economies and the Multilateral Trading System |
|---|---|
| time: | 13:30 - 15:00 |
| location: | The Centre William Rappard, WTO - Room W |
| description: |
The rise of emerging economies like China, India, Brazil, Indonesia, or South Africa is one of the most remarkable features of our time. In roughly ten years, China is expected to become the world’s largest economy and by 2050, developing countries might account for nearly 70 percent of gross world product. After a decade of unprecedented growth, South-South trade now accounts for nearly 50 percent of developing country exports. China has even outpaced the United States as Africa’s second largest trading partner, surpassed only by the EU. Sustained and rapid economic growth in those countries has not only contributed to lifting millions of people out of poverty, but it has also generated greater demand for finite raw materials, energy, and food products, ultimately boosting exports from other developing economies. These developments do not come without challenges, however, particularly with respect to the environment: resources – such as land or water – are becoming increasingly scarce, while GHG emissions continue increasing at alarming rates. The rise of emerging countries and the relative decline of traditional economic powers have also created tension, particularly between countries with large trade surpluses and those with growing trade deficits. Frequent and recurrent debates over exchange rate policy serve only to highlight these tensions. In the WTO, the growing role of Brazil or India, together with more assertive developing country coalitions, have changed the dynamics and configuration of the Doha talks. After more than ten years of intense negotiations, most observers concur that the current impasse in the Doha Round is the result of fundamental disagreements over the respective levels of commitment expected from emerging and more advanced economies. While several Members have insisted that the larger emerging economies need to shoulder new responsibilities commensurate with their rapid economic growth, emerging economies have pointed to the numerous development challenges that they are still facing at home, including rampant poverty. In a rapidly changing world, one in which economic wealth is progressively shifting towards the East and the South, this session will explore options for the multilateral trading system to respond effectively to the challenges and opportunities created by the rise of emerging economies.
|
|---|---|
| speakers: | Hüsnü Dilemre , Sergey Kiselev , Pascal Lamy , Pradeep Mehta , Ransford Smith , Jin Kyo Suh , Guillermo Valles Galmés |
| session 3: | Tackling Institutional Reform – The Future of the WTO |
|---|---|
| time: | 15:15 - 16:45 |
| location: | The Centre William Rappard, WTO - Room W |
| description: |
The WTO as an institution is not what it used to be a decade ago. Many countries have since joined, and shifts in the balance of global economic and political power have transformed the playing field. Accord- ingly, new needs and different expectations have emerged, including demands for a reform of the deci- sion-making process to increase its fairness, inclusiveness, and transparency. Meanwhile, trade negotia- tions under the Doha Round have reached an impasse, generating uncertainties about the future of the WTO as a forum for negotiation. This has prompted critics to argue that the WTO’s decision-making rules, principles and practice - many of which are carried over from the days of the GATT system - are ill-suited to the challenges of our times. There has been considerable debate as to whether institutional reform is needed - and in what form - ever since the WTO was first established, with numerous proposals being put forward. But as with any inter- governmental institution, change must come – and be agreed to – from the inside. This raises the question of how such a process can be initiated at the global trade body. Adding to these difficulties, years of near- exclusive focus on the Doha Round have inhibited institutional evolution, to the point of diminishing some of the WTO’s permanent, non-negotiating functions, such as the work of its regular committees. In the run-up to the 2009 Ministerial Conference, several proposals geared toward strengthening the func- tions of the WTO’s regular committees were put forward, many of which remain applicable to the present situation. A co-ordinated discussion, however, remains outstanding. Against this backdrop, the session will explore possible options for tackling institutional reform in the WTO, with the view of strengthening the multilateral trading system: How could a reform agenda be ini- tiated at the WTO and what should be its content? Should fundamental principles and practices, such as the notion of single undertaking, be re-considered? These are some of the questions that will be raised by the panel members.
|
|---|---|
| speakers: | Manfred Elsig , Stuart Harbinson , Joakim Reiter , Debra P. Steger , Datuk Maniam Supperamaniam , Rorden Wilkinson |
| Session 4: | LDC and the Multilateral Trading System |
|---|---|
| time: | 09:00 - 10:30 |
| location: | The Centre William Rappard, WTO - Room W |
| description: |
Despite the recent financial crisis and global recession, the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) as a group enjoyed, over the last decade or so, a period of sustained economic growth, macroeconomic stability, and increased trade and investment. In 2008, for the first time in several decades, LDC’s share of global mer- chandise trade exceeded 1 percent, largely due to the strong export performances of African LDCs. Yet these achievements, as impressive as they may appear, remain fragile. LDCs still face daunting challenges, ranging from inadequate access to essential services such as housing, education, and health, to rampant poverty and high unemployment rates. Furthermore, most LDCs have shown little progress in tackling their structural vulnerabilities and have not been able to significantly diversify their economies, which remain dependent primarily on commodities and on a limited number of export markets. Finally, as they become more integrated in the world economy, LDCs also find them- selves more exposed to risks associated with external shocks. In this context, the current impasse in the Doha negotiations and, more recently, the failure to agree on an LDC-focused package addressing pressing issues such as cotton subsidies, duty-free and quota-free mar- ket access (DFQF), rules of origin, and/or the services waiver, is of particular concern. This deadlock is particularly frustrating for LDCs, as the Doha Round was intended to address their structural handicaps to growth and stimulate their trade capabilities. The Doha deadlock might also accelerate the trend towards bilateral and regional agreements and therefore put LDCs at risk of further marginalisation, given that these countries already tend to be excluded from such trade deals. This session will look at the implication of these new developments for the LDCs. In particular, it will focus on the risks associated with the failure of the Doha talks, the implications for LDCs of the rise of the emerging economies, and how the international trading system can best tackle the structural bottle- necks of LDCs and ensure their effective participation in world trade by fostering development and alle- viating poverty and inequality.
|
|---|---|
| speakers: | Christophe Bellmann , Debapriya Bhattacharya , Jaime de Melo , Charles Gore , Leketekete Victor Ketso , David Primack |
| organisers: | Center for Policy Dialogue (CPD) |
| Closing Roundtable: | Emerging challenges for the Multilateral Trading System |
|---|---|
| time: | 10:45 - 12:15 |
| location: | The Centre William Rappard, WTO - Room W |
| description: |
The current paralysis in the Doha Round is arguably hampering the ability of the multilateral trading sys- tem to respond and adapt to emerging global trade and sustainable development challenges, particularly those that cannot be solved through bilateral or regional trade agreements. Despite a recovery in world merchandise exports, the effects of the financial crisis and global recession are still hampering faster eco- nomic recovery. High oil prices, persistent unemployment, and measures designed to reduce budget defi- cits have undermined short-term growth prospects. Meanwhile, estimates place the number of hungry people in the world as one billion in 2009, catapulting food security back to the top of the political agenda. As growth in demand continues to rise faster than supply, food prices are expected to remain high in the coming years. Low stocks, rapidly growing demand for biofuels, and rising energy prices have also contributed to higher food price volatility, further exacer- bated by export restrictions and other similar policies imposed by major food exporters. As governments are confronted by the urgent need to curb GHG emissions and initiate a transition to a greener economy, they face a widening range of concerns, ranging from loss of competitiveness, carbon leakage, or the need to promote the widespread diffusion of green technology. These concerns have direct implications for intellectual property protection, tariff, and substitution policies. While these issues have been omnipresent in the mind of both trade and climate negotiators, they have not been fully addressed, let alone resolved, in any of these forums. As a result, plurilateral responses and unilateral action have prevailed in recent years, for better or worse. This has, in turn, raised concerns about policy coherence and WTO compatibility, as illustrated by recent disputes on energy subsidies. Finally, the multilateral trading system needs to take better account of the increased geographical frag- mentation of global supply chains and the growing importance of non-tariff measures, including behind the border rules and regulations, not to mention the link between trade and exchange rate policies. How should the system respond to these emerging challenges? Is the WTO rulebook sufficiently equipped to deal with them? Should WTO Members address them in parallel with efforts to revive the Doha Round? And, if so, in what way and through which process? These are some of the questions that participants in this final roundtable are expected to address
|
|---|---|
| speakers: | Roderick Abbott , Peter F. Allgeier , Peter Balas , Beatriz Leycegui Gardoqui , Douglas Lippoldt , Ricardo Meléndez-Ortiz |